Wednesday, May 14, 2003

Quote of the day

Leading experts on new variant CJD, the human form of BSE or 'mad cow' disease, have warned the current outbreak could get much worse. So far, 99 people have had the disease and nearly all of them have died. New evidence gathered from experiments on mice suggests this first batch of cases could be followed in a few years' time by a much larger 'second wave'.

'I don't want to be alarmist about this but it's entirely possible and we have to consider that what we are looking at, at the moment is, thankfully, a very small incidence of the disease amongst a small sub-section of the population. It may be five or ten years before the rest of the population of those at risk develop the disease.'

Professor John Collinge, one of the government's top advisors on vCJD and director of the Medical Research Council Prion Unit in London, quoted by the BBC on 14 May 2001.

'Now a study published in the online journal BMC Infectious Diseases by a team of epidemiologists at Imperial College, has shown a further decrease in the predicted magnitude of the epidemic, with an upper limit of 540 deaths, based on the current case data.'

Forecast of human BSE deaths cut again to 500, Daily Telegraph, 7 May 2003

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